Retrenchments at a 7-year low last year

Employment growth was at its highest since 2014, a reversal from 2017, when the workforce shrank

Singapore

THE labour market improved on several fronts over the whole of last year, with retrenchments down to the lowest level since 2011.

Total employment growth last year was the highest since 2014; the number of people with jobs rose by 38,300. This was a reversal from 2017, when the size of the workforce shrank.

More local residents - meaning Singaporeans and permanent residents (PRs) - were in jobs, and the annual average unemployment rate and resident long-term unemployment rate fell slightly, compared with the year before.

However, this was mainly thanks to the good performance in the first nine months of the year, going by data from the Manpower Ministry (MOM) released on Thursday.

In the fourth quarter, total employment grew more slowly, and there was an uptick in the seasonally-adjusted resident unemployment and long-term unemployment rates, compared with the previous quarter.

For the whole of last year, 10,730 workers were laid off, down from 14,720 in 2017 and a peak of 19,170 in 2016. Of the 10,730 affected last year, 7,070 were Singaporeans and PRs.

While fewer locals were retrenched, a rising share were professionals, managers, executives and technicians (PMETs). They made up three-quarters (75.8 per cent) of local retrenchments last year, up from 72 per cent in 2017 and significantly higher than their share of the local workforce at around 57 per cent.

The ministry said in its report that this was because PMETs' share in the workforce has risen, and retrenchments were occurring mainly in higher-skilled industries.

With fewer people out of work, the annual average unemployment rate last year dropped to 3 per cent for Singaporeans, down from 3.3 per cent the year before.

The rate was 2.9 per cent for Singaporeans and PRs combined, and 2.1 per cent for all including foreigners, down from 3.1 per cent and 2.2 per cent respectively.

The share of residents who were unemployed for at least 25 weeks was down slightly at 0.7 per cent, from 0.8 per cent in 2017.

Of the additional 38,300 more employed people last year, Singaporeans and PRs accounted for 27,400, more than double the 10,900 for foreigners, excluding maids.

All the employment growth came from the services sector, which added a net of 47,800 workers, excluding maids.

The majority, or 65 per cent, of these workers were Singaporeans and permanent residents. They joined mainly the health and social services, transportation and storage, financial services, information and communications and professional services industries.

The number of workers in manufacturing and construction continued to fall, for the fifth and third consecutive year respectively.

Growth in the foreign workforce was mostly from S Pass holders - mid-skilled workers earning at least $2,300 a month. There were 11,000 more S Pass holders employed here last year.

There were, however, fewer Employment Pass (EP) holders as a result of the raising of the qualifying salary in January 2017. Over the last two years, the number of EP holders fell by 6,400, said the MOM in a statement.

The minimum qualifying salary for an EP is $3,600.

Meanwhile, labour productivity, measured as real value-added per actual hour worked, grew by 3.7 per cent last year, slowing down from the 4.9 per cent growth in 2017.

The latest figures also confirmed the preliminary income growth estimates, which showed that over the last five years, real median income growth for Singaporeans in full-time work was an average of 3.6 per cent per year from 2013 to 2018, up from growth of 1.7 per cent per year in the previous five years. This includes employer contributions to the Central Provident Fund.

Real income at the 20th percentile grew at a faster pace - an average of 4.3 per cent per year - than at the median, over the last five years.

On a quarterly basis, the share of locals who found work within six months of being retrenched improved in the fourth quarter of last year to 64 per cent, up from 62 per cent who found work in the third quarter.

There also continued to be more job vacancies than job seekers in December. The seasonally-adjusted ratio of job vacancies to unemployed people rose from 1.05 in September to 1.10 in December.

Looking ahead, the ministry said the hiring outlook is positive for the construction sector, which saw a pickup in contracts awarded since the second half of 2017, though the manufacturing sector outlook remains modest.

In the services sector, employment growth in outward-oriented industries such as financial and insurance services and wholesale trade is likely to ease because of slowing demand from key advanced and regional economies, it said.

But there should be job opportunities in domestic-oriented industries like education, health and social services, and community, social and personal services.

The MOM added that reductions in the foreign worker quota for the services sector from next year, announced in this year's Budget statement, "will help to keep the labour market tight to sustain the impetus for restructuring, and support good employment outcomes for Singaporeans".